THE race for the White House is on as Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump vie to deliver a victory speech on November 5.
Former President Trump is running against current Vice President Harris, who assumed the top of the ticket after President Joe Biden backed out of the race.
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump gestures at a campaign rally on October 9, 2024, in Reading, PennsylvaniaAP:Associated Press
Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event on October 28, 2024, in Ann Arbor, MichiganAP:Associated Press
Trump, left, and Harris shake hands during a presidential debate at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on September 10, 2024AFP or licensors
And that was only one of a handful of shocking and contentious moments in the last few months of the election cycle.
Harris has had to run a turbo-speed campaign with her VP pick, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, since securing her party’s nomination in early August.
Trump, meanwhile, has survived multiple assassination attempts along the campaign trail since July.
The initial shooting saw the ex-president survive a graze wound to the ear in Butler, Pennsylvania, just days before he took the stage to secure his party’s nomination and name Ohio Senator JD Vance his running mate at the Republican National Convention.
The two candidates went head-to-head during a contentious debate on September 10, marking their first face-to-face meeting – and their only faceoff during the campaign.
Since then, it’s been an up-and-down battle for the White House, set to culminate on Election Day.
Here’s what we know about the latest US election odds and who is predicted to win the 2020 presidential election.
WHO WILL BE THE NEXT US PRESIDENT?
As of November 4, Trump is showing a significant lead over Harris.
His odds of winning the election are 8/11, putting him at a 58% chance of winning Tuesday’s election, according to Betfair.
Harris’ odds of winning, meanwhile, are 11/8 – or just 42%.
“While we saw a significant drift on Donald Trump’s odds over the weekend, the slide now seems to have stopped,” said Betfair Spokesperson Sam Rosbottom.
“Punters are heavily backing him to win a second term. His odds are back around 8/11, giving him a 59% chance, as we head into election day in the US.
“More than $220m [£170m] has been wagered on who will win the election, and we’re expecting plenty more to come in the next 48 hours,” Rosbottom continued.
“Four years ago, $168m [£130m] was staked alone in the 12 hours overnight as the votes came in.”
Betfair is also allowing people to place bets on key swing state elections.
But only hours remain until voters head to the polls.
10 Days that Changed America
AN attempted assassination of a former US president, the standing down of a current president, and a political speech by a former wrestler. Senior News reporter Anthony Blair looks back on a crazy 10 days in American politics.
Saturday, July 13 – Donald Trump is shot during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. The Republican frontrunner is hit in the ear but stands up and pumps his fist to the crowd. Shooter Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, is shot dead but the Secret Service is slammed for suspected security blunders. Ex-fire chief Corey Comperatore is killed protecting his family.
Sunday, July 14 – President Joe Biden calls on Americans to unite and “cool down” political rhetoric in the wake of Trump’s shooting. The Democrat had faced growing calls since his disastrous performance in June’s CNN debate. Shocking video reveals how close Trump came to being killed after turning his head at the last minute.
Monday, July 15 – The Republican National Convention kicks off in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, where Trump is formally nominated as the Republican candidate. An emotional-looking Trump makes his first appearance since surviving the shooting wearing a large ear bandage. It quickly becomes a must-have fashion item at the RNC. Ohio Senator JD Vance is named as Trump’s running mate. Previously anti-Trump, Vance at just 39 is an inexperienced choice, but seen as having a connection with ordinary Americans. In an interview, Biden admits it was a “mistake” to talk about putting Trump in “the bullseye” days before the assassination attempt.
Tuesday, July 16 – The FBI warns of more potential violence in the wake of Trump’s shooting. Intelligence claims Iran had a separate plot to assassinate Trump, but there is no proven link to Crooks. Biden returns to the campaign trail for the first time since the assassination attempt and insists he isn’t stepping down.
Wednesday, July 17 – Joe Biden tests positive for Covid, just days after saying he would drop out of the presidential race if he was diagnosed with a medical condition. It intensifies the calls for him to step aside with Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom floated as potential replacements. At the RNC, JD Vance makes his first speech since being selected as Trump’s VP pick, to the delight of the MAGA crowd.
Thursday, July 18 – Donald Trump addresses the RNC, his first speech since surviving an attempted assassination. He appears slower and more subdued than usual but gives the longest convention acceptance speech in US history. Just before he goes on, former wrestler Hulk Hogan rips his shirt off and tells cheering crowds “Trumpomania” will sweep America. Former First Lady Melania, who has barely been seen on the campaign trail, makes an appearance but does not speak. Barack Obama joins calls for Biden to step aside.
Friday, July 19 – President Biden appears to consider resigning, as a source says he is in a “contemplative stage” while isolating with Covid. Video emerges showing Biden appearing to lean into the wrong woman after mistaking her for his wife Jill. Meanwhile, the world’s biggest tech outage sparks travel chaos for Republicans leaving the RNC in Milwaukee.
Saturday, July 20 – Donald Trump holds his first campaign rally since the shooting in Butler. He appears in Michigan without his ear bandage. His former doctor Ronny Jackson describes his injuries. He appears in his first interview alongside his running mate Vance. Senior Democrat Nancy Pelosi speaks for the first time since being linked to growing calls for Biden to resign. Meanwhile, Biden’s reelection campaign continues to insist he is running, as a spokesperson slams Trump’s rally remarks as showing he is “focused only on himself.”
Sunday, July 21 – Joe Biden announces he isn’t running in November in a shock letter, just hours after insisting he was staying in the race. He is the first incumbent to step down in their first term since 1968. Biden endorses Kamala Harris for president as senior Dems through their support behind the Vice President. The news appears to throw the Republicans off their stride. Biden vows to continue his term until November’s election.
Monday, July 22 – Kamala Harris raises a record $81 million in 24 hours as she secures the Democratic candidacy. She also inherits some $91 million in leftover campaign funds from Biden. Harris gives her first speech since Biden stepped out, and speaks to the president on the phone, although he doesn’t appear in person. Under-pressure Secret Service chief Kimberly Cheatle appears on Capitol Hill and faces increasing calls to resign over the shooting of Trump. She admits the Secret Service “failed” on July 13 and resigns the following day.
WHO WON THE 2024 PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE?
Trump and Harris went head to head on September 10, 2024, in their only presidential debate.
Harris was regarded as the winner as she “baited Trump and got under his skin,” one expert told The U.S. Sun.
The candidates couldn’t agree on a second showdown, so voters only saw the two face off once during the election cycle.
Voters did, however, see Trump and President Joe Biden square off on June 27 – a debacle widely considered to be the catalyst for Biden backing out of the presidential race.
Still, Harris and Trump have each continued on their respective campaign trails with appearances on late-night TV, podcasts, network news, and more.
Their respective VP picks, Walz and Vance, debated weeks later on October 1, clashing on major issues, including abortion and immigration.
Polling conducted exclusively by The U.S. Sun after the vice presidential debate revealed a dead-even tie between Harris and Trump.
Still, at the time, many voters hadn’t made up their minds about who they were going to select on their ballot.
But now it’s down to the wire as Americans have just hours left to make their choice.
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https://www.the-sun.com/news/12798087/us-election-odds-who-will-win-the-presidential-election/